There is no doubt that the news about Governors elected under the platform of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), voting in favour of a Northern Chairman for the party, has further increased the belief by many Southerners, that the party would zone its 2023 presidential ticket to the region. It should be recalled that the party has a system that does not allow its presidential candidate to be nominated from the same region which produced its Chairman.
This can be argued to be the reason why many Southerners appear to be excited that the PDP Governors have voted to have a Northern Chairman. Recall that for a while now, there have been rising calls for the zoning of the 2023 Presidency to the Southern region. This has arguably led to rumours that the immediate past President of Nigeria, Goodluck Jonathan, could be defecting to the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC).
According to the rumours, some powers within the APC, are working to bring Jonathan to the party, where it is believed that he is likely to emerge as its flag-bearer for the 2023 Presidential election. There is no doubt that the defection plot has not become a reality. However, with the PDP likely to zone its 2023 presidential ticket to the South, we may begin to wonder what could be Goodluck Jonathan’s chances of returning to power in 2023.
Arguably, the North could see Jonathan as the best candidate to use and quench rising agitations for a Southern Presidency in 2023. This is due to the fact that he can only rule the country for only 4 more years. However, it is my view that should the former President eventually defect to the APC, his chances of returning to power will be very slim. You will agree with me that many Southerners are of the view that Jonathan’s return to power in 2023, could see the Presidency leave the region after only 4 years.
With this in mind, the Southerners are likely to prefer whoever the PDP would give its ticket from the region. Again, there are chances that many of the electorates would want to try a new hand. Recall that during Jonathan’s administration between 2011 and 2015, many notable Nigerians took to the streets on several occasions, to protest against some of his policies including the removal of oil subsidies. This could see many of the electorates, believing that the former President has nothing new to offer, and opt for a fresh hand.
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