The next general election is fast approaching and there is an increasing demand for a southerner to replace President Muhammadu Buhari in 2023.
Ohanaeze Ndigbo, the apex Igbo socio-cultural group, has urged political parties to zone their presidential tickets to the south east in order to pave the way for an Igbo presidency in 2023.
Since Nigeria gained independence in 1960, only one Igbo person has ruled the country. General Aguiyi Ironsi, the first military head to state, ruled for just six months between January and July 1966 before he was killed during the second military coup.
No Igbo person has had the opportunity to rule Nigeria since then, even though Igbos are one of the three major tribes in the country.
Different groups and individuals have started the agitation for an Igbo presidency in 2023, aside from Ohanaeze Ndigbo.
In my opinion, the continuous agitation cannot lead to an Igbo presidency in 2023 unless there is a national consensus on the subject matter.
There are some reasons why an Igbo presidency is nearly impossible in 2023.
1. The Nigerian constitution doesn't recognize a rotational presidency or zoning arrangement. The presidency is simply by merit under the constitution.
2. It will be difficult for anyone from the east to emerge as president because the region doesn't have the numbers to win a presidential election.
The South East is the only region with five states, and results from previous elections have shown that the region doesn't really have the number like other regions.
In conclusion, the only way for an Igbo person to emerge as president in 2023 is for major stakeholders in the country to reach consensus on the subject matter.
Just like we had a consensus in 1999 where major political parties zoned their tickets to the south west to pave the way for a Yoruba person to emerge as president, the same thing could also happen in 2023.
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