General elections will be held in Nigeria on 23 February 2023 to elect the President, Vice President, House of Representatives and Senate. The winners of the election will be inaugurated on 29 May 2023, the former date of Democracy Day.
With President Muhammadu Buhari having been elected to the office of President twice on the platform of All Progressives Congress (APC), he is ineligible for re-election.
Among the potential candidates speculated to be nursing the President post include:
Tambuwal had contested and lost the 2019 PDP Presidential primary to Atiku, however lost the main to President Buhari.
However, on why Northern region of the country will throw their support for the National Leader of the ruling APC Tinubu, if he clinches APC's 2023 Presidential ticket, over Atiku and Tambuwal, if one of them clinches the 2023 race ticket of their party are as follows:
Firstly, Tinubu's political career started to progress in 1992, when he joined the Social Democratic Party (SDP), where he was a member of the Peoples Front faction led by Shehu Musa Yar'Adua. Tinubu was elected to the Senate, representing the Lagos West constituency in the short-lived Nigerian Third Republic.
If we could remember, in the run-up to the 1999 poll, Tinubu was a member of Alliance for Democracy (AD). He went on to win the AD primaries for the Lagos State governorship elections. In January 1999, Tinubu with AD ticket was elected governor, despite the wind of PDP that had swept across the nation winning from State to State.
Its in public domain that Tinubu has play an important role in the Buhari administration, supporting government policies and holding onto the internal party reins, in lieu of his long-held rumored Presidential aspiration. In 2019, he supported Buhari's re-election campaign defeating the PDP candidate Atiku.
Secondly, allowing Tinubu to held his 69th birthday colloquium in Kano State which is the heart of the North, hence he will accept in every Northern state.
Tinubu’s Colloquium in Kano showed that he is well accepted by the Northerner. If someone is accepted in state with largest registered voters like Kano, it might be a sign that he's accepted in the whole North.
Thirdly, on why I am of opinion that Northerners are not ready to support Atiku, is because he was supported so many times.
Recall, since his entry into politics in 1993, Atiku has contested five times for President. In 1993, he contested the Social Democratic Party (SDP) He was candidate of Action Congress (AC) in the 2007 coming in third to Umaru Yar'Adua of the PDP and Buhari of the then ANPP. Atiku has also contested on the of platform of PDP in 2011 losing out to Goodluck Jonathan.
In 2014, he joined the APC ahead of the 2015 Presidential poll and contested the poll, but lose to Buhari.
In 2017, Atiku returned to the PDP and was the party Presidential flag bearer during the 2019 general election, again losing to Buhari.
Lastly, the main problem Atiku will face is that, pressure has been mounted on the PDP to zone its Presidential ticket South instead of North where Atiku hail from. Though the party has not officially announced the zoning of party's ticket to any zone in the country, some of PDP's members from the South are already mounting too much pressure on party's leadership not made the ticket open for all to contest, stressing its Southern time produce the President.
If one of these two, Atiku or Tambuwal is allowed to run for President in 2023, then some aggrieved members of the PDP may form a sort of political alliance against them and work for another party that zoned its Presidential ticket to the South.
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