The main opposition party, PDP, may not be able to win three key states in the next general elections. Nigerians, who are registered voters, would troop out in 2023 to cast their votes to elect their leaders and representatives. But there are three states that may be extremely difficult or tough for the PDP to win.
When it comes to the presidential election, there are some states that any political party that is serious must win. Any party that claims at least two of the three states in this article can rest assured of overall victory in the presidential election. The three states simply have the largest number of voters in the country and this paves the way for them to be important.
The People's Democratic Party (PDP) may still lag behind in Kano State. The state has the largest voting strength because more than a million votes are recorded in the northwestern state. There are two things that can make the PDP lose the key state in the next general elections.
The first cogent reason is that the understanding and relationship between Bola Tinubu and Umar Ganduje would enable the APC to maintain its strength in Kano State. Both leaders would be up and doing to the extent that they would work assiduously for the success of the APC in Kano State.
The second reason is that the Kano State chapter of the PDP isn't united. There is a rift between Mr. Rabiu Kwankwaso and Mr. Aminu Wali. It is a fact that the two are trying to be the authentic leader of the party. Therefore, the Kano State chapter of the PDP is apparently divided into two factions with each of them loyal to either Kwankwaso or Wali.
The PDP has a very bad record in Lagos State. As a matter of fact, the political party has never been able to win the commercial hub of the country since 1999. Even Mr. Bode George has not been able to make any difference in Lagos State. George is a key PDP leader in Lagos State and at the national level. But he has never achieved success in Lagos State for the political party.
Apart from the fact that the PDP has never won Lagos State in the gubernatorial election, the national leader of the All Progressives Congress, Mr. Bola Tinubu would make it even tougher for the PDP to have any footholds in the state. He is one of the biggest obstacles that the PDP has in Lagos State. And in as much as he is active in partisan politics, it will be tough for the PDP to claim Lagos State.
The third state is Yobe. The northeastern state has never for once embraced the PDP. The party has always been unsuccessful in its bid to rule the state. And the same thing tends to happen in 2023. The incumbent governor of the state, Mai Mala Buni, won't fold his arms while Yobe is snatched by the PDP. As the chairman of the APC caretaker committee, he would want to let the APC maintain Yobe State.
Apart from Mr. Mai Mala Buni, there are some other top personalities of the APC in Yobe State. The current president of the Senate, Mr. Ahmed Lawan is from Yobe. Furthermore, former governor Ibrahim Gaidam would be on ground to make it tougher for the PDP in Yobe State. Hence, it can be concluded that the PDP doesn't have much chance in Yobe State.
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