Ahead of the 2023 presidential election, the tussle over which zone will produce the successor of President Muhammadu Buhari has already begun.
Some Nigerians have been vocal in their support for the return of power to southern Nigeria since President Muhammadu Buhari will complete his second term as president in less than two years time and he will not eligible to contest for third term according to Nigeria constitution.
Here are three reason why north may still produce Nigeria next president in 2023 general election.
1. The electoral might of the North.
When it comes to Presidential elections, the North is a strong force to be reckoned with. So even if they decide to retain power in 2023, their chances of success are still high.
The North has 19 states, as against the 17 states in the South. Apart from that, most of the stronghold states are in the North - like Kano, Kaduna, Jigawa, Katsina, Niger, Plateau, Sokoto, Bauchi and Zamfara. When you check the record of the electorate's might in those states, you would understand that numbers are everything in election.
The truth is that, if the North refuses to accept the power rotation which the Southern governors proposed in their meeting few weeks ago the chances of power remaining in the North after 2023 general election are high.
2.Another strong reason why power may stay in the north after President Muhammadu Buhari ends his second term in 2023, is that the Northerners Nigerians are more patience to tolerate every phase of the political process, unlike Southerners who cannot abandon their businesses to queue in the polling unit.
An average Northerner has no problem staying on the queue for a whole day just to vote but an Igbo will rather be in his shop for those hours.
In 2023, power may still remains in the north because Southerners don’t have time. Do you think an Igbo will leave the shop to queue for 6 hours just to vote? In the North Nigeria , people are ready to stand in line from morning till night just to vote for their choice
3. Power of incumbency.
As we may know, the Power of incumbency in politics is the advantage a sitting officeholder has to determine the outcome of an election in his favor, and against his opponent.
Taking this into consideration, if President Muhammadu Buhari who is a northerner, decides to support a northern candidate in the 2023 presidential elections, his influence and power as the President of Nigeria will be of an advantage to such northern candidate. What's more? Very rarely have we seen a President's choice in an election, being defeated.
For these reasons there is possibility that power may still remains in north in 2023 general election.
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