For a while now, the agitators for Southern Presidency in 2023 have continued to focus their attentions on the All Progressives Congress (APC), and the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP). It should be recalled that these are two dominant political parties in the country, believed by many people, to likely produce the next President of Nigeria. There is no doubt that political parties have the final say on the region that gets its 2023 presidential tickets.
This can be argued to be the reason why the agitators of Southern Presidency, are focusing on the APC, and the PDP. However, I am of the view that even with the presidential tickets of these two dominant parties, the Southern region could still lose the 2023 Presidency to the Northern region. Arguably, many people could believe that the outcome of the 2023 presidential election would begin and end with the APC, and PDP. However, one should not rule out the likelihood that a strong third-force could emerge from the Northern region.
Recall that for a while now, the North and Southern regions have been at loggerheads over where the next President of Nigeria should be elected from. With the South not willing to let go of the 2023 Presidency, and the determination of the North to remain in power beyond 2023, one should not rule out the possibility of the North handing over the tickets of the APC and PDP to Southerners, and massively decamp from the two parties to contest the election under another platform.
Not long ago, the Spokesperson of the Northern Elders Forum, Hakeem Baba-Ahmed, alleged that the North has the necessary population required to win the 2023 presidential election. With this in mind, and the fact that the North has often produced higher numbers of votes than the South, dumping the APC and PDP for a new political party, may not be a difficult task for the region. Also, as the region in power, the Northern elites equally have some loyalists in the South that could move with them, if they decide to leave the two parties.
There are also chances that votes from the Southern region would split due to the likelihood that multiple candidates from the region will contest the Election. Should this ever happen, it could leave the APC and PDP with mostly Southern members. The implication of this is that, the North may use its larger population, to promote the party with their favourite candidate from the region, and go ahead to win the 2023 presidential election. With this in mind, one may not be totally wrong to believe that even with the presidential tickets of the APC and PDP, the Southern region could still lose the 2023 Presidency to the Northern region.
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