Those familiar with the political terrain know that it is unpredictable; this may be the major reason why politicians move from one political party to another to achieve their primary goals, only a few sticks to a political party to carve a niche for themselves in a political party.
Nigerian politicians can be likened to “Ajala the traveler”, a Nigerian who became famous for his globe-trotting exploit. An average politician has a permanent interest that he is working round the clock to achieve; moving from one political party to another will always be a common happening in the Nigerian political landscape because of its uniqueness and the ultra-competitive nature of the terrain.
Is the All Progressive Congress (APC) interested in having Governor Godwin Obaseki back in the fold? There has been a report emanating from the camp of APC which shows that the party may be interested in bringing back the governor.
The leadership of the All Progressive Congress has been doing their best to ensure that the party is in a position of strength ahead of 2023 to ensure that the party has a good outing in the forthcoming presidential election, getting an incumbent governor to join the party is a step in the right direction.
After the political machination and plots that led to Obaseki's decamping to the People’s Democratic Party (PDP), many are not expecting the governor to return to the All Progressive Congress (APC). Should he decide to go back to his former political party, the following may likely happen.
1. Obaseki VS Oshiomhole: Both Comrade Adams Oshiomhole and Governor Godwin Obaseki started from the same political family. Those familiar with Edo state politics know that Comrade was very influential in nurturing and ensuring that Obaseki has a career in politics. Governor Godwin Obaseki became the next occupant of the Osadebe house after being backed heavily by his former godfather, Adams Oshimhole.
The decision of Governor Godwin Obaseki to contest for the office of governorship for the second time cause a huge division between him and Oshimhole. Governor Godwin Obaseki left the APC for the PDP in which he won the election after competing at the polls with the candidate (Pastor Osagie Ize-Iyamu) backed by his former boss.
While the result of the election is being challenged in the court of law, Obaseki has shown that he has mastered how to play the game by emerging victoriously in what can be considered as one of the most competitive gubernatorial elections in Edo State.
Should Obaseki decide to go back to the APC, the intraparty clashes that characterized the political party before he left for the PDP may resurface again. The forces loyal to him will surely want to take over the structure of the party which will be resisted by forces loyal to Comrade Adams Oshimhole.
2. The strength of a general lies in the size of his army; a leader has to carry his followers along before taking a decision. Will all Obaseki supporters return to the APC if he should decide to return to his former political family? A definite answer cannot be given as nobody can predict the future, but there is a possibility of some of his supporters staying back at the People’s Democratic Party (PDP).
3. The political setting in Edo state presently favors the incumbent governor, by the virtue of winning the last governorship election against all odds; he has the support of the power brokers within the state. He has the rare opportunity of building a formidable political family that may remain relevant in Edo state politics for years. The only logical reason that could make the governor return back to the APC is if he gets a political offer that is too good to reject.
A move back to the APC may reduce the support base of the governor among the power brokers who stood with him when the going was tough and electorates who voted for him because of how he stood up to his former boss in the last election conducted in the state.
Dear Reader, What are your thoughts about this write-up? Do you see Obaseki going back to the APC? Drop your comments!
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