Bola Ahmed Tinubu and his All Progresives Congress (APC) may be shaken if the opposition party comes up with an idea as the party prepared to take over power in 2023 (at that time) eight years after losing out to the APC.
The struggle has apparently commenced. Interested aspirants have been moving to make their dreams realities and they will stop at nothing to make their party nominate them.
The People's Democratic Party (PDP) is the main challenge that Tinubu would have. To tell the truth, he is far above most of the top politicians in the APC. And the only fear he will have is in the opposition party.
If it were to be for APC alone, Tinubu could have retired to his Bourdillion House in Lagos till 2023 when the country goes to poll. But if rests on his oars, there is fire on the mountain. If the PDP zones its ticket to north again, Tinubu may lose out.
The People's Democratic Party (PDP) and its national leaders may be looking at the possibility of picking the presidential candidate from north for the second time in a row. The party used a northerner in 2019 to vie for the top seat.
Alhaji Atiku Abubakar, a former vice president of the country, was nominated as the candidate in a convention held in Port Harcourt in late 2018. He is from Adamawa State in northeastern part of Nigeria.
Atiku did his best to unseat President Muhammadu Buhari, but understandably, he lost to the incumbent. It is often difficult to unseat an incumbent in Africa, where democracy is weak. There is possibility that he will be back again to fly the PDP flag and this time around, the narratives will change.
If the opposition party considers the need to nominate Atiku Abubakar or any other northern leader to jostle for presidency again, Tinubu's struggle may be negatively impacted. And he may even lose the chance to have the APC ticket for the election.
How PDP decision will affect Bola Tinubu and the All Progresives Congress (APC).
The APC knows that the bulkiest of Nigerian votes come from key northern states of Kano, Katsina, Kaduna and Borno. These four states are very important in the presidential election as they determine (to a very large extent) who becomes the president of the country.
Nigerian voters often use sentiments including religion and ethnicity. Hausa-Fulani dominate the north and Atiku Abubakar is one of them. If the PDP zones its ticket to north and either Atiku Abubakar or any other politician takes the document, the APC will be forced to change its course.
The All Progresives Congress won't want to lose the bulk of votes from that region. And the PDP knows that its fate hinges on support from north.
If the APC buys from the idea of PDP and its decision, Bola Ahmed Tinubu may have to lament forever.
Truly, key northern leaders of APC including Babagana Zulum has agreed that the APC should take the Presidency to south, anything can happen in the eleventh hour. Nigerian politics is a game which can change at any moment.
So, the decision of the PDP will go a long way to affect the APC and its national leader, Bola Ahmed Tinubu in the next two years.
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