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How Yoruba Nation Agitation May Cost Bola Tinubu the APC Presidential Ticket for the 2023 Election

Photo Credit: The Conversation

As President Muhammadu Buhari gradually rounds off his eight-year reign, the debate about power rotation to the Southern region remains a sour point in the camp of the All Progressives Congress.

The southern caucus in the party is holding tight to a gentlemanly power rotation agreement that APC chieftains endorsed before the 2015 presidential election.

It was on that basis that Buhari emerged as APC's Presidential candidate in 2015. And in 2023, it will be the turn of the South. And former Lagos State Governor is highly favoured to emerge as the party's candidate. Analysts say he is undoubtedly the most influential Southern politician in APC, hence his high rating.

But some Northern forces are fighting it. According to several media reports, powerful Northerners, worried about the secessionist agitations in the South, are lobbying the party to disregard the zoning solution. Two major Northern groups have come out to make this position known; they are Northern Elders Forum and Arewa Consultative Forum.

 Photo Credit: Today

According to Iliasu Gado, a popular Northern critic and columnist, the reason for their resistance is because they don't want the presidency to go south just yet. They are worried about the likely implication that could have on the well-being of the North as a result of Sunday Igboho’s and Nnamdi Kanu's campaign for the country’s break up. 

Photo Credit: BBC

Though many of them have expressed confidence about Tinubu's leadership capacity, the crux of the resistance is not about Tinubu's abilities, but more about how ongoing agitations in the south could undermine Northern interest.

In this report, I will highlight Why the Yoruba Nation agitation may affect Tinubu’s chances to win APC’s presidential ticket. 

The ongoing agitation for the Yoruba nation remains a source of deep worry for the North. Anybody that has observed Nigerian politics long enough should understand that issues that even remotely threatens Nigeria's unity frighten the North.

The region fiercely rejects any debate that threatens Nigeria's existence as one indivisible unit, because the North believes that whatever problems exist can be solved through constructive consultations and dialogue, not through agitations for the Oduduwa Republic. 

Photo Credit: Daily Post

And one of the reasons why the region is quite sceptical about Southern leaders is that they have been unusually quiet about Sunday Igboho and Yoruba nation agitations.

This silence makes northern leaders sceptical according to Mr Gado who is also an academic scholar. And it also fuels suspicion that the likes of Tinubu may have a hand in the agitations, howbeit secretly. Tinubu has denied any involvement in the campaign

On top of that, some Northern stakeholders have also accused Tinubu of financing the #Endsars protest which had a profound effect on the country and frightened the North.

Photo Credit: Daily Trust

The allegation against Tinubu was so strong that he rushed to publish a rebuttal, distancing himself from the protest.

These agitations, is the reason why many northerners are asking the question; can the North trust and feel comfortable under a southern President?

Do you think the North is right to distrust Tinubu? Let us know your thoughts in the comment section below. While you are at it, also like and share the story so that others can comment too.

Note: All photos are for illustration purposes only. 

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APC Lagos State Muhammadu Buhari South Yoruba


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