Governor Seyi Makinde of Oyo State was elected in 2019 for a four years tenure, he has been doing well in governance, Makinde has executed a quite number of capital projects across the state, he is one of the best governors when it comes to prompt payment of salaries and general welfare of the civil servants. However, as the Constitution allows Governor Seyi Makinde might be seeking re-election although he has not formally declared. Should he decide to run for the second term some factors might work against him.
1. Crisis: like most PDP control States in Nigeria, the Oyo State chapter of the PDP is having a leadership problem, some prominent party members and their supporters are not satisfied with Governor Makinde's style of leadership, which has led to the defection of some members to the ruling All Progressives Congress, APC, others are still romancing to join. Although the Saraki led National Reconciliation Committee was able to reconcile some aggrieved members in August, but a careful look at the media publications of PDP in Oyo State revealed that the crisis is far from over. This might hurt Makinde's re-election bid because most people will not back him for a second term.
2. Opposition APC: another major factor that could work against Governor Makinde's re-election bid is the ruling All Progressives Congress, APC. APC is very strong in Oyo State, is capable of challenging PDP to victory in 2023 because it has taken advantage of the crisis in PDP to rebuild its structure ahead of 2023.
As a National Party, APC has required resources to prosecute the governorship election. For the PDP to be able to retain the Oyo state in 2023, Saraki led committee and other relevant stakeholders must work hard to bring all the aggrieved members back to the party before the 2023 general elections.
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