Though Bola Ahmed Tinubu is considered as the most strategic politician in the current political dispensation, there are actually two northern politicians that he can never defeat if he contests along with them. No matter how he does it, he can't have victory in such an election.
Tinubu may end up being the candidate of the All Progresives Congress (APC) in 2023. The odds are high and every indication points towards his candidacy. Hence, the two politicians will come from the People's Democratic Party (PDP).
It had been speculated that the PDP may go to northern Nigeria to pick its presidential candidate. That would be the second time the party will choose its representative from the bigger region of the country.
The former governor of Lagos State, Tinubu, who is also the national leader of the All Progresives Congress (APC) may find it difficult to defeat at least two top politicians from that part of the country.
The first one is Alhaji Atiku Abubakar, the immediate past candidate of the PDP. He led the PDP to win power at the national level in 2019. But he lost though he was able to gather more than ten million votes for the PDP.
It must be critically noted that Alhaji Atiku Abubakar ran against an incumbent president, Muhammadu Buhari. And defeating an incumbent in Nigeria and in Africa as a whole is cumbersome. The incumbents are often powerful and control virtually every aspect of Government including the electoral body.
However, Atiku Abubakar was able to come second with millions of votes. He won all the south-south, and southeast states. Likewise, he won several states in north including Adamawa. That shows Atiku Abubakar is a strong politician.
Tinubu should know that there is no way he can defeat the former vice president, Abubakar. Meanwhile, ex president Olusegun Obasanjo has forgiven Atiku of any errors the former vice president might make.
Atiku will use his vast influence to beat Tinubu hands down! There is no shortcut to it. So, if the PDP presents Atiku Abubakar, Mr. Bola Ahmed Tinubu should just accept defeat immediately.
Mr. Aminu Tambuwal is another top PDP leader that can easily defeat Tinubu. Tambuwal has become a household name in the political arena of the country, Nigeria. His name is ubiquitous and he is often seen in positive politics.
Tambuwal isn't a green horn in politics that someone can just override or sideline. He was at a time speaker of the House of Representatives, making him the number four citizen of the country. He wielded much power at that time.
He went on to pick become the APC candidate for the Sokoto State governor ship race in 2015 and he won. Later on he returned to the PDP during the build-up to the last general polls. He was returned elected.
Tambuwal has an array of political friends in the APC and he will use that opportunity to defeat Tinubu. Definitely, he will.
Not only that, the Sultan of Sokoto Sa'ad Abubakar can't fold his hands to let the opportunity of governing the country elude the northwest state. Sa'ad Abubakar will certainly throw his weight behind Tambuwal.
And every Muslim will remember that Sa'ad Abubakar is more or less the Islamic head of the nation. The traditional and Islamic leader can help Tambuwal win many hearts to the extent that Tambuwal will emerge if he contests against Bola Ahmed Tinubu.
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