Run down the clock. On 14 December 2020, the Electoral College meets. Across the 50 US States, 538 Electoral College electors meet. 270 votes are needed for a win. President Trump has to prevent Democrat candidate Joe Biden from winning 270 votes or more. If any presidential candidate fails secure 270 electoral college votes, then on 6 January 2021, the election moves to the US Congress. On 6 January 2021, the House of Representatives votes as the 50 State delegations, where each delegation casts one vote. This is determined by the majority of the representatives in that State. Currently, there are 26 States that have a majority Republican House delegation. These 26 Republican State delegates will vote for President Trump and he is re-elected.
After 3 November 2020 election, President Trump will refuse to concede defeat, dispute later counted postal votes and provisional votes. He may contest the result in the courts. Or he may work with Republic controlled States legislatures to send duplicated electoral certificates to the US Congress. Or Republican controlled State legislature may invoke special powers preventing their Electoral College electors from attending the 14 December 2020 meeting. President Trump has to prevent Joe Biden from winning 270 Electoral College votes or more on 14 December 2020. If he do can does this, he wins. Currently, I forecast Joe Biden winning 308 Electoral College votes. I’m assuming that President Trump will win the States of Texas, Georgia, Ohio, North Carolina and Arizona.
In the map below, you’ll see that the 26 States have a majority of Republican Representatives. This could be crucial to US President on 6 January 2021.
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