Photo Credit: The Nation
In a few hours from now, the Peoples Democratic Party leaders will meet to deliberate over the report of the Governor Ifeanyi Ugwuanyi led National Convention Zoning Committee.
During its meeting, the committee agreed to zone the party's chairmanship slot to the North, against popular expectations, this has fuelled speculations that PDP will zone its presidential ticket to the South.
According to a report in The Nation Newspaper, there is a lot of push back from the Northern PDP cabal who are against the zoning plan. They are pressuring the party to change the formula so that the presidency can be ceded to the North. But the South led by Governor Nyesom Wike has so far remained resolute and mounted strong resistance to the quest of the northern PDP caucus.
Photo Credit: Naira Land
If the PDP NEC succeeds to defy pressure from the Northern cabal and endorse the zoning formulas, it will boost Wike's chance to emerge as the PDP presidential candidate.
In this report, we shall consider some factors that favour Wike to emerge as PDP's standard-bearer in the 2023 presidential election.
The Southern Governors are the majority in the PDP Governors Forum and they dominate the NEC
Some analysts have predicted that the Northern PDP cabal may likely prevail over the PDP NEC to change the recommendation of the Ifeanyi Ugwuanyi led zoning committee, which ceded the office of the PDP chairman to the North, thus making room for a Southern Presidency.
Photo Credit: Today
But that is not likely to happen because the Southern Governors have the majority in PDP Governors Forum as well as the NEC. Out of the 13 PDP Governors in Nigeria, eight are from the South and only five from the North. This implies that the balance of power favour the Southern Governors and they are not likely to succumb to pressure to change the zoning formula.
This could mean that the Northern candidate may be locked out of the presidential ticket contest, thus giving Wike a huge advantage to win the ticket. Wike is considered by analysts as the most influential politician in Southern PDP, and he will use his influence to lobby delegates to support him.
Wike will leverage on his intimate relationship with Aminu Tambuwal to win Northern delegates’ Vote
It is a well-known fact that Governor Wike has a close relationship with Sokoto State Governor, Aminu Tambuwal.
Photo Credit: BBC
The relationship dates back to 2019 when Wike supported Tambuwal against Atiku Abubakar in the race for PDP's presidential ticket. Tambuwal may likely reciprocate that gesture and this will be crucial in helping Wike win the support of Northern PDP delegates.
Wike has a huge war chest
As the Governor of River State, a major oil-producing state, Wike is not likely to have problems funding his campaign and also winning the support of delegates. This could give Wike an advantage that other southern contestants.
Do you believe that Wike can prevail over the Northern cabals win the party ticket? Let us know your thoughts in the comment section below. While you are at it, also like and share the story so that others can comment too.
Note: All photos are for illustration purposes only.
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