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Heading into match week 6 of the 2021/22 Premier League season, Chelsea who has 2064 points is 3rd in the all-time Premier League table. They need 9 points to overtake Arsenal who has 2072 points. Based on how both clubs have performed so far, it is likely that Chelsea will get the needed 10 points this season.
I used the difficulty level of each of their coming fixtures to predict the number of matches it could take for the overtake to happen.
How the difficulty level of each match was determined
Zero points were awarded to both clubs in matches against clubs that are currently in the top 4 in this season's Premier League table. Points were also not awarded when both clubs are playing against teams that are not in the top 4 but are currently above them in the league table and they finished above them last season.
A) 1 point was awarded when they are playing against clubs that are currently above them in the league table but finished below them last season. It was done vice versa.
B) 1 point was also awarded when they are up against opponents that are level on points with them this season or last season.
A) 3 points were given for matches against clubs that are currently below them this season and below them last season.
A) To get 3 points against a newly promoted club, they need to be above that promoted club in the league table.
B) 1 point was awarded in cases where that promoted is level on points or below them in the league table.
The next 6 fixtures for Arsenal and Chelsea in the Premier League
Arsenal: current league position 13th, finished 8th last season
1) Tottenham (H), Zero points
Tottenham is not currently in the top 4 but they finished above the Gunners last season and are currently above them this season.
2) Brighton (A), Zero points
Brighton did not finish above Arsenal last season but they are currently in the top 4.
3) Crystal Palace (H), 3 points
Arsenal finished above the Eagles last season and are currently above them this season
4) Aston Villa (H), 1 point
The Gunners finished above Aston Villa last season but are currently below them this season.
5) Leicester (A), 1 point
Leicester finished above Arsenal last season but this season they are currently level on points.
6) Watford (H), 1 point
Watford was promoted to the Premier League this season and they are currently level on points with the Gunners.
Based on the above calculation, the likely total points for Arsenal after their next 6 matches will be 6 points.
To make it simple I will just state the current position of the opposition team and where they finished last season.
For Chelsea: current league position 1st, finished 4th last season.
1) Manchester City (H), 1 point
Current position: 5th
Last season's position: 1st
2) Southampton (H), 3 points
Current position: 15th
Last season's position: 15th
3) Brentford (A), 3 points
Current position: 9th
Last season's position: Promoted
4) Norwich (H), 3 points
Current position: 20th
Last season's position: Promoted
5) Newcastle(A), 3 points
Current position: 18th
Last season's position: 12th
6) Burnley (H), 3 points
Current position: 19th
Last season's position: 17th
Based on this the likely total points for Chelsea after their next 6 matches will be 16 points.
The two results mean that Chelsea could be 10 more points better than Arsenal after the next 6 games. That means Chelsea could go 2 points above Arsenal in the all-time Premier League table on the weekend they play Burnley and Arsenal play Watford.
Content created and supplied by: SportsBible (via Opera News )